年后刚刚开市焊管成交处于半停滞状态

根据兰格网统计，河北天津地区样本管厂共计焊管产线129组，镀锌管产线97组。从上图可以看出，从2018年7月份到10月份厂内原料总计库存处于35-40万吨之间，10月份以后受价格下跌影响，厂家有意识降低原料库存，过年前后由于管厂停工原料库存大幅增加；焊镀管库存随淡旺季销售小幅调整，整体变化不大，焊管维持在8万吨左右，镀锌管维持在20万吨左右，日均成交量在4万吨左右。天津唐山邯郸主要管厂统计：本周(2.15)厂内原料带钢库存51.6万吨，比年前增12万吨；焊管库存7.3万吨，比年前降1.2万吨；镀锌管库存20.6万吨，与年前持平；年后刚刚开市焊管成交处于半停滞状态。
According to the statistics of Lange net, there are 129 groups of welded pipe production lines and 97 groups of galvanized pipe production lines in Hebei Tianjin Sample Pipe Factory. As can be seen from the chart above, the total stock of raw materials in the factory is between 350,000 tons from July to October, 2008. Affected by the price drop after October, the factory consciously reduces the stock of raw materials. The stock of raw materials in the pipe factory has increased considerably before and after the end of the year due to the shutdown of the pipe factory. The stock of welded and plated pipes has been adjusted slightly with the sales in the off-peak season, and the overall change is not significant. The welded pipes are maintained at about 80,000 tons and the Galvan About 200,000 tons, the average daily turnover is about 40,000 tons. Tianjin Tangshan Handan Main Pipe Factory Statistics: This week (21.15) the stock of raw material strip steel is 516,000 tons, an increase of 120,000 tons over the previous year; the stock of welded pipes is 73,000 tons, a decrease of 12,000 tons over the previous year; the stock of galvanized pipes is 206,000 tons, the same as the previous year; the market just opened after the year, and the turnover is in a semi-stagnant state. 二、春节前后市场变化
2. Market changes around the Spring Festival

1、节前行情及冬储情况调查
1. Pre-Festival Market and Winter Storage Survey

年前管厂出厂价格及各地区报价小幅上涨，带动部分冬储，但总的来看冬储情况并不理想。管厂厂内原料库存主要以协议量为主，由于过年期间所有产线停工，厂内原料库存明显增加，平均每家增2万吨左右。社会库存小量冬储，华北地区大部分贸易商均维持正常库存之内，以北京地区为例，各家库存普遍在2000-3000吨不等，个别大户5000吨以上，贸易商操作较消极。中南地区相对积极，以郑州为例，大户库存普遍在8000吨以上，比平时库存量增30%左右。冬储大户普遍采取跟管厂合作方式，一般以带钢价格为基础加上一定的费用出货，优惠力度大但占用资金量也较大。
The ex-factory prices and quotations of various regions increased slightly before the year, which led to some winter storage, but overall the situation of winter storage is not ideal. The stock of raw materials in the factory is mainly based on the agreed quantity. Due to the shutdown of all production lines during the Spring Festival, the stock of raw materials in the factory has increased significantly, with an average increase of about 20,000 tons per family. Most traders in North China keep their normal stocks in a small amount of winter storage. Take Beijing as an example, the stocks of each trader are generally between 2000 and 3000 tons, and the stocks of individual large traders are more than 5000 tons. Traders'operation is relatively negative. The central and southern regions are relatively active. Taking Zhengzhou as an example, large households generally have more than 8,000 tons of stock, which is about 30% more than usual. Winter savers generally adopt the way of cooperation with the management plant. Generally, the price of strip steel is the basis plus a certain cost of shipment. The preferential power is large, but the amount of funds occupied is also large.

2、节后行情及开工情况调查
2. Survey of post-festival market and construction start-up

假期巴西矿难不断发酵升级，第一天开市钢市迎来开门红，津冀地区主流管厂出厂报价
The Brazilian mine disaster escalated during the holidays. On the first day of the holiday, the steel market in Kaishi ushered in a bright start. The main pipe factory in Tianjin-Hebei region quoted price for leaving the factory.

随原料上调百元左右。但暴涨以后市场上并没有量价齐升，随着利好消息的弱化，管厂价格大幅回落，市场回归基本面。截至目前大部分管厂已经开工，生产开始进入正常，但销售仍处于半停滞状态。下游市场，大部分地区贸易商已经返市，但多无实质成交，价格普遍报稳，福建及陕西地区仍未正常开市。市场库存与年前相比均无明显调整，个别地区陆续提协议量，后期逐渐到货。
With raw materials up to about 100 yuan. However, after the surge, the market did not rise in both volume and price. With the weakening of the good news, the price of the pipe factory dropped sharply, and the market returned to the fundamentals. Up to now, most of the pipe plants have been built and production has begun to enter normal, but sales are still in a semi-stagnant state. In the downstream market, traders in most areas have returned to the market, but most of them have no substantial transactions. Prices are generally stable. Fujian and Shaanxi regions are still not open normally. The stock market and years ago showed no significant adjustment in some areas continue to mention the agreement, later gradually arrival.

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